11 October 2016
Based on the information available on 11 October, OPIDIN predicts that the flood will be extremely high this year. It will become one of the highest floods in the last 50 years. The peak of the flood will be 2 m higher, and the area being maximally inundated 2.5 times larger, than in extremely dry years.
The water level in Mopti was already high early August, but had further increased 2.5 meter in the last ten weeks to reach the extremely high level of 653 cm on 11 October. The water level reached on 11 October has never been so high on this date in recent years.
OPIDIN predicts that the water level in Mopti will further increase by about 15 cm in October. The flooding will reach its peak between 26 October and 1 November in Mopti, between 24 and 28 November in Akka and between 4 and 12 December in Diré. The last dozens of years, cows were allowed to cross the river at Diafarabé during the course of November. That will not be possible this year, since in November the floodplains will still be covered by water. In 2016, the floodplains will become available for grazing in mid-December.
