19 October 2016
Based on the information available on19 October, OPIDIN predicts that the flood will be extremely high this year. It will become one of the highest floodsin the last 50 years, about as high as 1994 and 1999. The peak of the flood will be 2 m higher, and the area being maximally inundated 2.5 times larger, than in extremely dry years.
OPIDIN predicts that the water level in Mopti will further increase by some cm next week. The flooding will reach its peak between 24 October and 1 November in Mopti, between 22 and 26 Novemberin Akka and between 3 and 11 December in Diré. The last dozens of years, cows were allowed to cross the river at Diafarabé during the course of November. That will not be possible this year, since in November the floodplains will still be covered by water. In 2016, the floodplains will become available for grazing in mid-December.
