The water level in Mopti has increased to 640 cm on 28 September. That is high in comparison to all water levels measured on this date in the last fifty years and nearly as high as the water level measured on this date in two years with an extremely high flood, namely 2016 and 2018.
The flood prediction of OPIDIN has not changed the last six weeks. The peak flood level in Mopti will likely be about 680 cm and thus still rise the coming weeks 40 cm. The flood will most likely be about as high as, and possibly even higher than, 2018.
The peak in Mopti will be reached in the second half of October and the flood will be at its maximum in Akka half November. Based on the current prediction, the south-western part of the Inner Niger Delta may become available for grazing cattle in December. Using the relationship between peak flood level in Mopti and the annual date when the cows are allowed to enter the Inner Niger Delta at Diafarabé, it is expected that the cattle can cross the river at Diafarabé in the first half of December.
