The water level has reached its peak in Mopti this year on 14 October (621 cm) and remained at that level until 19 October, declining by 1 cm on 20 and 21 October and by 2 cm on 22 and 23 October.
Based on the information available on 11 October, we predict that the flood of 2013 will be as high as in 2007, 2008 and 2009 and nearly as high as in 2010 and 2012. The prediction of the peak flood has not changed any more since 3 September and will not change anymore.
Based on the information available on 1 October, we predict that the flood of 2013 will be as high as in 2010 and 2012. The prediction of the peak flood has not changed any more since 3 September and will not change anymore.
Based on the information available on 21 September, we predict that the flood of 2013 will be as high as in 2010 and 2012. The prediction of the peak flood has not changed any more since 3 September and it is very unlikely that it will change much during the coming weeks.
Based on the information available on 11 September, we predict that the flood of 2013 will be as high as in 2010 and 2012 and possibly even a bit higher since the rainfall in the Upper Niger Basin in the first ten days of September was 30% above average and in the Basin of the Bani River even 80% above the average (averages calculated for the years 1996-2012).
Based on the information available on 1 September, we predict that the flood of 2013 will be about as high as in 2010 and 2012. The prediction of the flood level is still not fully certain, however. It depends on the rainfall in the Upper Niger Basin during the coming week to what degree the peak flood level will deviate from the present prediction.
Based on the information available on 21 August, we predict that the flood of 2013 will be not as high as in 2010 and 2012 but not as low as in 2011. The prediction of the flood level is still uncertain, however. Much can change depending on the rainfall in the Upper Niger Basin during the coming week.
Based on the information available on 11 August, we predict that the flood of 2013 will be not as high as in 2010 and 2012 but not as low as in 2011. The prediction of the flood level is still uncertain, however. Much can change depending on the rainfall in the Upper Niger Basin during the coming weeks.
Based on the information available on 1 August, we predict that the flood of 2013 will be probably not as high as in 2012, but it is unlikely that the flood will as low as in 2011. Thus, the flood level will deviate not much from the years 2006-2010. The prediction of the flood level is still uncertain, however. Much can change depending on the rainfall in the Upper Niger during the coming weeks.
