16 September 2015
Based on the information available on 14 September, OPIDIN predicts that the flood in 2015 will be as high as last year and thus not as high as in 2012 and 2013. The prediction of the flood level is nearly certain.
The water level on the gauge of Mopti amounted to 548 cm on 14 September. The water level in Mopti will still increase with 40 to 60 cm until the peak is reached in Mopti between 14 and 22 October. The flood level will be at its maximum in Akka between 15 and 21 November and in Diré likely between 7 and 17 December. These predictions are based on the water level reached in Mopti on 14 September, but also takes into account the recent rainfall in the Upper Niger and Bani.
OPIDIN predicts that the cattle can cross the river at Diafarabé between 18 and 30 November. This prediction is based on the relationship between peak flood level in Mopti and the date when the cows are allowed to enter the Inner Niger Delta at Diafarabé during the last 30 years.
